In my last post, I talked about the relationship between the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and standard deviation (STDEV) for a normal distribution. Apparently, many people had never seen the math behind it, and I got questions about the same relationship for the case where the demand was not normally distributed.
A colleague and I were talking recently, and the conversation turned to what is the relationship between Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) and the Standard Deviation (STDEV). In this post, I will explain to you the math behind that approximation, which by the way, only applies to normal distributions.
Over the past few years, the chatter about the role of AI to “optimize” supply chain has been almost endless. Some of the material is great, other is hype, some conjecture, and in most cases, we will not know the impact...
The risk of viruses is often a topic of conversation in current times. One of the dominant questions at social gatherings is - what is a bigger risk (defined as serious illness) this fall and winter: regular virus (REGVIR) or COVID-19...
If you are thinking “machine learning and AI” will save you from data disasters – think again as the pandemic behavior is playing havoc with machine learning models.
An often-heard theme in supply chain management (SCM) and COVID-19 is “data-driven” – being data-driven is the path to success. For COVID-19 “science-driven” is often said in the same sentence. For SCM demand or customer-driven replaces “science”. This blog will point out a few examples in the COVID-19 challenge demonstrating COVID-19 is an OM challenge.
The current COVID-19 situation highlights the supply chain management challenges in any turbulent time. In this blog we identify five key points: preparedness, larger good, anticipate, and not react to events, responsiveness, and an intelligent stochastic estimate of demand.
For those that work regularly in the supply chain or managing the demand-supply network (DSN) models are commonplace to help with similar questions. This blog will provide some basics about models that all will find helpful...
We see graphs of COVID-19 events on a regular basis. One of the most common is a bar chart for daily new events (COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, deaths). Recently in presentations, smoothing methods used to overcome limitations is presenting the raw daily data. This blog will take some of the mystery out of smoothing methods.
This blog provides some basic information on the curve, relates statistical concepts to policy and actions, and examines policy options for a safe restart relating them to the APEX curve. There are three essential groups of action to begin a safe restart: testing, detailed understanding of the impact of mitigation actions, and the ability to do detailed tracking.