Lessons From the Operating Curve for the Dual Government COVID19 Objectives: Reopen the Economy and Eliminate COVID19

There is plenty of material being written and posted on the challenges, estimating the growth in COVID19 incidences, and thoughts about the economy. The purpose of this is to pull from experiences in the trenches in shifting OPCURVE to provide some guidance on actions to take to help the nation achieve both critical goals.

Some Basics on the Value of S Curves and Market Adoption of a New Product

An ongoing challenge for any firm is estimating demand for new products.  This is especially true when the product has new technology or is replacing an existing product and the additional function in the new product is limited. Often a mathematical constructed called an S curve is helpful. This blog provides an overview of S curves and why they can be helpful.

Taking the mystery out of the rapid growth of COVID-19 and the purpose of social distancing – some basics for Octogenarians

The spread of the COVID19 virus is a major concern of everyone. Typically, two critical questions are being asked: why it seemed to grow so quickly over the last few weeks and what is the impact of social distancing. This blog provides a kitchen table explanation of “rapid growth” and how social distancing might dampen growth.

Conditional Probability Made Easy – Heart of Machine Learning

Probabilities are persuasive in supply chains and analytic methods – especially in machine learning where conditional probability is a dominant underlying structure that makes or breaks the success of an application. In this blog, we will learn how to take the mystery out of the term ‘conditional probability’.

Lots of Zeroes? Basic Guidelines to Managing Intermittent Demand – Part 2

In Part 1 of this blog, we closed with the following question: “OK, intermittent demand creates a challenge, but I still need a demand estimate, what do I do!” Below we will provide an answer, but with a different orientation that begins with the question: “what is the purpose of the demand estimate?”

By |2019-11-13T11:43:14-05:00November 13th, 2019|Demand Planning, Forecasting|0 Comments

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